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For Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Russian people, the idea of admitting defeat in Ukraine is unthinkable. The implications of such an admission would be devastating not only for the current regime but for the nation's self-image. The loss would be seen as a humiliation, not just by the international community but by the Russian people themselves, who take great pride in their country's strength.
Even in the face of Ukrainian incursions into the Kursk region, The Russian current strategy appears to be one of measured response rather than reckless escalation. The use of nuclear weapons is a last resort, one that would only be considered in the direst of circumstances.
As the 2024 U.S. election approaches, it is becoming increasingly clear that Russia may be waiting to see the outcome before making any decisive moves toward peace. The Kremlin's calculus likely includes the possibility that a Trump victory would lead to a cessation of U.S. support for Ukraine, giving Russia a strategic advantage. Conversely, a Harris victory would mean continued U.S. backing for Ukraine, prolonging the war and further weakening Russia.
The declining birth rates in countries like Japan, South Korea, the United Kingdom, and China have become a pressing issue, raising significant concerns about economic stability, social security, and even national security. Historically, nations facing such demographic challenges have sometimes resorted to drastic measures, including territorial expansion and resource acquisition through military means.
Israel's leadership seems unfazed by these criticisms, operating under the assumption that their reputation cannot sink any lower and that now is the opportune moment to consolidate power.
If the Ukrainian President Zelensky can turn the Kursk region into a bargaining chip, he will have demonstrated that even in the face of overwhelming odds, there is always room for strategy and statesmanship.